Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001528 0.001612 0.001698 0.001794 0.001897 0.002004 0.002125
2025-06-01 0.001384 0.001502 0.001628 0.001773 0.001936 0.002114 0.002324
2025-06-08 0.001298 0.001439 0.001595 0.001780 0.001995 0.002237 0.002535
2025-06-15 0.001219 0.001375 0.001551 0.001766 0.002021 0.002319 0.002695
2025-06-22 0.001160 0.001328 0.001520 0.001760 0.002053 0.002403 0.002859
2025-06-29 0.001103 0.001278 0.001483 0.001742 0.002066 0.002462 0.002990
2025-07-06 0.001052 0.001233 0.001447 0.001723 0.002073 0.002510 0.003109
2025-07-13 0.000996 0.001177 0.001395 0.001679 0.002047 0.002513 0.003165
2025-07-20 0.000967 0.001155 0.001382 0.001684 0.002081 0.002594 0.003327
2025-07-27 0.000944 0.001137 0.001374 0.001693 0.002120 0.002682 0.003503
2025-08-03 0.000928 0.001127 0.001376 0.001715 0.002175 0.002793 0.003716
2025-08-10 0.000902 0.001104 0.001358 0.001709 0.002192 0.002852 0.003858
2025-08-17 0.000866 0.001068 0.001325 0.001683 0.002184 0.002880 0.003962
2025-08-24 0.000837 0.001040 0.001301 0.001669 0.002192 0.002931 0.004104
2025-08-31 0.000818 0.001024 0.001293 0.001677 0.002230 0.003027 0.004322
2025-09-07 0.000793 0.000999 0.001271 0.001664 0.002238 0.003077 0.004469
2025-09-14 0.000772 0.000980 0.001256 0.001659 0.002256 0.003144 0.004647
2025-09-21 0.000749 0.000956 0.001233 0.001643 0.002256 0.003183 0.004780
2025-09-28 0.000726 0.000932 0.001210 0.001624 0.002252 0.003213 0.004902
2025-10-05 0.000698 0.000899 0.001173 0.001585 0.002213 0.003187 0.004922
2025-10-12 0.000685 0.000888 0.001166 0.001589 0.002242 0.003270 0.005140
2025-10-19 0.000674 0.000880 0.001163 0.001597 0.002278 0.003366 0.005387
2025-10-26 0.000668 0.000877 0.001167 0.001617 0.002333 0.003495 0.005704